Henry Dampier

On the outer right side of history

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April 18, 2014 by henrydampier 11 Comments

Egalitarianism Destroys Labor Markets

I dislike the fashion among economics writers to say that technology has rendered most laborers ‘obsolete.’ That I dislike it does not necessarily make it false. But I will make the case for my beliefs here, nonetheless.

In this post, I will hash out why the ideology of human equality floods labor markets with unqualified workers and ultimately undermines the market system by generating destructive political feedback loops.

The reason why debates about labor markets take on such urgency in the Western world is that so many people are in desperate or at least insecure states of personal economy. Savings rates are perilously low, particularly among young people. Labor markets are chaotic, with too many people in inappropriate jobs, and plenty of fields besides that have labor shortages that spike wages. This is all exacerbated by a diversity human resources regime that forbids effective filtering of employees  and a social welfare system that seizes large portions of wages paid to labor.

First, it was a grievous mistake to purge the vestiges of feudal culture. While it is hard for me to make a positive argument for chattel slavery, assigning the exact same level of legal rights to all men and women over 18 rests on a lot of faulty assumptions about the intrinsic moral and intellectual capacities possessed by each person. It also neglects to provide people with individual choices about how many legal rights they ought to have.

While one might suppose based on a lifetime of propaganda that no one with the option would surrender their freedom in return for something, in practice, we have seen such arrangements take place throughout history and in the current day. Student loans permit you to indenture yourself to either the government or an authorized lender provided that you enroll within an accredited institution. Husbands and wives, even today, surrender some of their rights in return for a contract and certain soft privileges.

As this relates to the labor market, democratic courts forbid the restrictive apprenticeship contracts that were common even in the American colonies up until relatively recently. The need for skilled workers has not abetted (if anything, it has increased), but the historic legal framework that bonded apprentices to masters is no longer present.

Even in the construction trades, we see the consequences in the differences between pre and post-war architecture. The stonemasons that carved the ornate facades on New York City buildings built before the New Deal are no longer maintainable because that trade has shrunk to almost nothing. No one remembers the lost art. Skilled furniture makers have similarly been replaced by mass pulp manufacture, not necessarily because the latter produces better products.

It is my intuitive sense that it has more to do with the spiritual differences between mass-man and the old type of man that existed before the standardization of culture pushed through by the mandatory education system. IKEA would not appeal to a culture that still produced large numbers of skilled artisans capable of producing beautiful furniture at an affordable price.

Particularly as mass education has turned to promising a life of bureaucratic mind-work to everyone regardless of intrinsic capability, useful trades of all kinds need to be subsumed by automated substitutes.

Mass democracy has flooded labor markets in certain parts of society while either ignoring or heavily discouraging entrance into other segments, based on the temporary enthusiasms of education bureaucrats, mayors, and presidents.  Markets equilibrate to the political system, outside of conscious design.

Second, the ochlocracy pushes far more people into the labor market than ought to be there. The frogmarching of women into the workplace throughout the 20th century, which became a high state priority in the late 1960s, is a key example of this. The state attempts to push as many people into work as possible because wage labor is easily taxed, whereas household labor is not.

It is entirely possible that there are many people who would be better off working as gardeners, maids, and nursemaids in a bonded servant relationship rather than in an expressly wage-labor relationship. But the state prefers to reward the 40-hour-a-week format for standardization, ease of taxation, and in a vain attempt to create a worker’s paradise on Earth. The notion that ‘full employment’ is even desirable rests on a set of strange quantity-before-quality assumptions about the nature of work and human society.

It is also a difficult frame to smash: it is shared by all the people of quality, and only rogues believe otherwise.

What it ultimately does is create a dispirited, demoralized, Soviet-like population of ugly, fat, slutty, and unhealthy people. The property of the middle class gets routinely redistributed through various tax-and-inflation policies, keeping them in the labor market for too long.

Idiots mix with the capable, destroying business productivity. Young people do not enter the skill-building relationships that they need to, because they are illegal. Shortages and gluts appear regularly, which generates political chaos, and because democracy is incapable of producing effective leadership, the solutions chosen only exacerbate the underlying structural problems.

Modern economics writers will almost never broach these topics. No one wants to tell a generation of ‘strong, independent women’ that they probably cause more chaos and damage to the business world than is warranted. A hardworking housewife reduces the amount of cash income that a man needs to bring in to provide for his family.

The technology argument here is, again, a lazy argument to make (partly because it is force-fed to Western students in the schools as an explanation for various enormous 20th century changes). You can always spend more time cooking a better meal, working on an art project with a child, beautifying a home, sewing a dress, or otherwise discovering new ‘jobs’ within the household that improve quality of life.

No one wants to tell mediocre people that they would be better off as bonded servants, monks, or enlisted soldiers than as skilled workers. It is easier for someone like Tyler Cowen to instead say that they ought to be all ‘taken care of’ by magic welfare fairies that will somehow not cause any negative effects (to say nothing of the dysgenic impact). It says a lot about the failure of imagination and historical memory that the only solutions that our famous fatheads can come up with involves handing out more magical debit cards filled with digits to any low-life with a pulse.

The Marxist slogan ‘to each according to his needs, from each according to his ability’ has been diluted to the point where no one expects ability from anyone, and the new needs claimed by everyone reach to infinity. Fortunately, the world has limits.

No one respectable wants to admit that in areas like the arts and the skilled trades, America has declined in a shocking way in the post-war era. The narrative that must be maintained at all costs that every chart that anyone be allowed to look at in any circumstance must always be going from the lower left to the upper right without exceptions.

By telling people that they are all equal, we guarantee a steady progression of failure. By banning most enforceable legal relationships that smack of hierarchy, we consign countless people to dull, unsatisfying, and increasingly insecure lives.

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April 12, 2014 by henrydampier 8 Comments

Inflation and the ‘Die Techie Scum’ Rage

kevin-rose-protest

 

Why are protesters in San Francisco attacking members of the new class of techno-entrepreneur?

To quote from their manifesto:

It has now come to the point where even Diet Coke advertisements are referencing the influx of techies and their startups. With venture capital in their pockets, these wealthy professionals with few attachments are able to pay hyper inflated rents and property prices, displacing long time residents and increasing the cost of living. Tech-workers on average earn four times the wages of a normal service worker.

Venture capitalists enable these tech-workers by funding their startups. With the success of each startup, more and more ambitious tech-workers flock to the city and displace underemployed service workers to the cities at the far reaches of the BART line. These workers must then commute back to San Francisco or Oakland every morning, in most cases to perform menial tasks for the entitled scum who drove them out in the first place.

Which brings us back to Kevin Rose, founder of Digg.com and current venture partner at Google Ventures. He has already helped Google acquire Nextdoor.com and invested his own money in Foursquare, hoping to cash out when a giant buys it. We are here today because a few of the thousands low-paid, underemployed service workers got fed up with Kevin Rose treating them like the shit one scrapes from their boot, not even worthy of eye contact or the basic pleasantries generally taken for granted in our culture.

Techies, because of the amount of time they spend staring into screens, tend to have poor eye contact skills. The autistic stereotype makes sense for startup workers who rarely socialize with other people except from behind screens, during stand-up meetings, or with the assistance of alcohol after hours.

They’re not rude, they’re just socially inept, which is close to the same as rude, but not quite as intentional.

This is a fight not just over money, but status.

In the Bay Area, one rarely just ‘gets coffee’ with a friend. An invitation to get coffee is really an invitation to discuss some business venture. These are the reasons why they don’t make eye contact with their baristas: but it so offends people that it has become a recurring theme in the complaints.

It’s funny that these protesters bring up Kevin Rose’s app Oink, because they are probably the only people to remember it in at least a couple years.

It should be obvious to anyone that the current boom in software has been driven by low interest rates and money-printing on the part of worldwide central banks. Part of the reason why this has been concealed is that, unlike the more recent housing bubble in the US, the inflation (creation of credit and cash) has been channeled mostly into stock markets both public and private.

Because most Americans are reprobates incapable of saving much money, this has isolated most of the gains through printing to the upper middle class and higher.

Venture capital benefits through a system of diversification in which large investors like pension funds, university endowments, and insurance companies devote a sliver of their allocations to VC firms. These VC firms then invest some of this money into startups, most of which fail.

 

kevin rose businessweek cover
Rose in headier times, before he failed upward.

The population of San Francisco is just over 800,000. This has made it fairly easy for a significant portion of the people there to be displaced by a relatively small number of small, wealthy companies moving there. This combined with an anti-development attitude and a Communist-leaning local government has made it difficult for the city to absorb the gold rush influx.

The general anger is understandable. The way in which it’s being expressed by protesters would not be tolerated in a civilized country, but the US is not a civilized country. The protest problem is just a symptom of more significant issues within the political structure.

Protesters are employing similar methods targeted to other individuals and companies, using social media to increase the targeting accuracy.

This is all an effect of an inflationary monetary system combined with a culture that encourages both envy, victim-worshiping, and uncritical acceptance of the structure and its distorting impacts on society. Almost no one active in business and politics today has a first hand experience of the pre-Nixon monetary system, much less the pre-Federal Reserve system. The mores and business practices of today are profoundly different from those that came before the major structural shifts.

The new class attracts resentment precisely because they gain access to the ‘new money’ years before those with fewer political connections do. Part of this is a democratic ritual that has been with the US since the founding, owing to the anti-inheritance laws that ensured that permanent classes would not develop into a new aristocracy (which Tocqueville commented on extensively in his travels during the post-revolution period).

The leveling effect that Keynsian policies are intended to have (by disrupting entrenched fortunes and cycling through business classes) has the unintended consequence of decimating the middle class, empowering new classes of foreigners, and crunching the proletariat. What has happened is that the former middle class gets trapped in the tax policies designed to reduce the large fortunes, while the large fortunes purchase exceptions, and the poor lose all security.

This is what the new class means by ‘disruption’ — they are disrupting the former entrenched businesses using a new wave of credit that has trickled to them through limited partners to the hands of venture capitalists to be invested in the little pirates who lengthen the capital structure.

We see this literally in the case of ‘software as a service’ and ‘cloud computing’ companies who cause capital equipment to be distributed around the world rather than being concentrated within geographical areas. Hidden security costs threaten the stability of this premature extension.

In the Bay Area, these protests represent a failure of governance, and a classic democratic failure mode. As the hot money leaks from the coastal cities into the rest of the country, we will see similar dynamics play out all over, until foreign policy breakdowns force the final reckoning upon the Americans.

Rather than pick up pennies in front of the steamroller off this inevitable event, it is better to prepare for the dissolution.

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March 24, 2014 by henrydampier 2 Comments

The Public Policy Challenge of Male Motivation

Faced with the unprecedented drop in male labor force participation and a simultaneous rise in the female  labor force participation rate, the American policy establishment has chosen to notice the problem and double down on the evident and widely agreed upon causes. In the Atlantic, Derek Thompson writes (in a single draft, because he is not paid enough to think) that this is because of the “rise of women and the growth of the safety net.”

Men have become less motivated to work as women have arisen in legal and social status. Thompson has no recommendations, which is just as well.

According to the St. Louis Federal Reserve, for the first time ever, the male labor force participation rate has now dropped below 70%, to 69.2%. In 2007, before the bailouts, it was 73.3%.

The female labor force participation rate has also dropped since 2007 from 58.9% to 57.2%. That’s not as much of a drop as with the men, but still significant.

This has also lead to pseudo-philosophizing about how men are not as useful to modern work as women are, that manufacturing is less important (which is false), and that muscles are not as important as brains and communication and connection and feelings. None of these things are true and many are not empirically verifiable claims.

Women and the children that they bear are the motivation for men to yoke themselves to serious careers. As fewer women of all classes have been willing to subordinate themselves to the traditional marital arrangement (propagandized to reject it in the school system and by corporate propaganda), men instead elect to become lotus eaters.

If you are discriminated against in the work place, if your wife can cheat with impunity and then loot family assets, and if your social position is permanently at risk due to being labeled an ‘abuser,’ a ‘racist,’ or a ‘sexist,’ it is much safer for a white man to skate under the radar, not be too ambitious, and avoid risky relationships.

‘PUA’ has become a recognizable acronym even in mainstream outlets because this male adaptive strategy has become so popular.

This even has an impact on inheritance, as parents know that passing assets down to male heirs is far riskier than giving assets to female ones. Any man’s assets can be seized by his wife at any time and for almost any reason. If you pass funds and property down to women, you can be reasonably assured that she will keep it for herself.

Moral Distraction is Easier Than Addressing the Issues

As men become more aware that their assets can be seized by their wives on a whim, fewer are willing to enter heterosexual marriages. It is a psychological curiosity that gay marriage has become such a progressive fixation as this far more important trend is occurring. The legal situation of heterosexual marriage and child-rearing is a free-fire zone of misery, but the chattering classes fixate instead on giving sodomites rights that they do not even show much interest in making use of.

There is an appetite for moral self-flattery in the American middle class that only becomes more pronounced as you look further up the ladder. Because the lower class in America is so disgusting and reprehensible to their betters, the middles and better are always looking abroad or to palatable substitutes for opportunities for moral uplift.

It is odd that an upper middle class woman will see better opportunities in moral self-flattery through adopting a negro babe from Haiti than through adopting a home-grown negro.

It is odd that performing community service in Kenya will help you get into Yale, but that performing community service in Newark, Camden, Oakland, or Chicago’s South Side would be unthinkable to any private school student or their ambitious parents in America. It would never even be suggested by an admissions consultant.

The standard excuse is that the American ‘safety net’ provides for these unloved domestic negroes, whereas foreign aid never does enough for the more exotic varieties on other continents.

The Inversions of America’s Last Days

When Europeans settled America, most settlements only provided property rights to white men. Throughout the continent, but in the south most of all, status could be enhanced by purchasing negroes from African slave traders, and then setting them to work on the farm. Only the wealthy could afford slaves.

Today, status can still be enhanced by purchasing black babies, although they are no longer given useful jobs or social roles in large numbers. It’s called adoption. Urban politicians compete for status by unveiling new grand plans to bring black people up to the same levels as whites — by taking over their lives at every stage through educational, correctional, and make-work institutions.

This process is popular for the better-off whites to root for, because it makes them feel like morally superior people. Good folks are perpetually concerned about improving the lot of the ‘oppressed,’ even if all of the programs designed to help those people tends to make them far worse off than they would be left alone or segregated.

Instead, most are dumped into prison-like public schools. The men inevitably wind up in prisons. Even the best among them must deal with the gravitational pull of a  culture that has abandoned even the pretense of Christian social norms.

The minor artistic achievements of the Harlem Renaissance or of the great jazz musicians are forgotten (except by white NPR listeners): instead, the press glorifies rappers.

Whites enhance their status relative to one another in part by pretending to do wonderful things for black people without doing anything that’s terribly good for those same black people. In their finishing schools, Americans learn to morally flagellate themselves for the ideology of ‘white supremacy’ held by their ancestors. This self-mortification has an obvious pleasurable aspect, so much so that college graduates practice it in a ritual fashion even after they have graduated.

A social structure that used to be dedicated to motivating European men to civilize a continent has been inverted, in spirit if not yet in form. The males are no longer motivated to be men, and the women are dizzy, with their superiors commanding them to behave like men because the males refuse to be men in increasing numbers, yet the advice is rarely followed.

The solution is to invert the inversion, and then to fix it in place using political and social systems that are less prone to leftward drift.

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Filed Under: Economics Tagged With: discrimination, Gender

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